Caernarfon Town 3-2 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.27
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.98
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.36
2-3 Goals
41%
2.23
4-5 Goals
26%
2.44
6+ Goals
13%
4.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
75%
-17.9pp
25%
Draw
15%
+10.1pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.48/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.49
-8% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +71%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town squeezed past Briton Ferry 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caernarfon Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?

Caernarfon Town 3-2 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 57%, draw 25%, Briton Ferry 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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