Flint Town United 1-0 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 34% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.5pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.6pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-11.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.76/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.65
-20% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +57%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
01.04.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-2 HT 0-2 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
18.02.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-1 HT 2-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
05.11.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
24.09.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
04.12.2021 Flint Town United Flint Town United 4-1 HT 3-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
18.09.2021 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-0 HT 1-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Town United edged past Haverfordwest County 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Haverfordwest County at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Flint Town United and 1.67 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Haverfordwest County?

Flint Town United 1-0 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 28%, draw 31%, Haverfordwest County 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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