01/12/2024
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Rudes vs Jarun Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
34%
Draw
26%
26%
Away Win
23%
60%
Under 2.5
57%
40%
Over 2.5
43%
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
54%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rudes v Jarun — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rudes
EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jarun
EU Bookmakers 26%
-34% /
-34%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+10% /
+10%
1.33/1.33
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.90/0.83
-8%
/
-18%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-15%
/
+61%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
324 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
360 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
Rudes vs Jarun Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Rudes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Jarun
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
64%
Ball Possession
36%
17
Total Shots
6
8
Shots on Target
2
4
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
Rudes 1-1 Jarun — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Rudes
1-1
AWAY
Jarun
59%
Ball Possession
41%
18
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
7
3
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Rudes vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rudes and Jarun shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Rudes had 59% of the ball to Jarun's 41%, shots finished 18-9.
What was the final score of Rudes vs Jarun?
Rudes 1-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rudes vs Jarun?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rudes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rudes 40%, draw 34%, Jarun 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rudes), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Rudes)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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