Balzan FC 1-2 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
3 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
16.09.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
1-2
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick nicked a narrow win over Balzan FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Balzan FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Balzan FC had 43% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 57%, shots finished 3-10.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Balzan FC 1-2 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 49%, draw 28%, Zabbar St. Patrick 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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