Melita 1-3 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.0pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melita EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 66%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.25/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.56
+83% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melita
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Melita MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melita
1-3
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melita vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC got the better of Melita 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marsaxlokk FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melita had 51% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 49%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Melita vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Melita 1-3 Marsaxlokk FC in the Malta - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melita vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Melita 19%, draw 25%, Marsaxlokk FC 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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