Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 Melita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-13.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Melita EU Bookmakers 18%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+120% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1-2
AWAY Melita
72% Ball Possession 28%
12 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Melita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melita edged past Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Marsaxlokk FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 72% of the ball to Melita's 28%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Melita?

Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 Melita in the Malta - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Melita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 50%, draw 27%, Melita 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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