Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.74
Over 2.5
34%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.81
No
65%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
54%
+12.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
46%
-12.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
51%
-16.6pp
65%
BTTS No
49%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.04/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.87
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Floriana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
04.02.2023 Floriana Floriana 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
01.10.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
30.04.2022 Floriana Floriana 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
30.01.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
25.09.2021 Floriana Floriana 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
1-1
AWAY Floriana
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans and Floriana shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 64% of the ball to Floriana's 36%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.50 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?

Hamrun Spartans 1-1 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 34%, draw 27%, Floriana 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Floriana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
24 Aug 2024
21:15 Marsaxlokk FC vs Melita Analysis →