Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.82/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.44
-44% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Floriana
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2023 Floriana Floriana 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
01.10.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
30.04.2022 Floriana Floriana 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
30.01.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
25.09.2021 Floriana Floriana 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
1-0
AWAY Floriana
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans edged past Floriana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 47% of the ball to Floriana's 53%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.60 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?

Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 45%, draw 27%, Floriana 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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