Smouha 0-0 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.79
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.90/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.17
+85% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.6 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
1W-3D-2L
AWAY El Gounah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
271 Passes 224
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 1-0 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
20.09.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
23.08.2022 Smouha Smouha 2-2 HT 1-2 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
20.04.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
21.08.2021 Smouha Smouha 3-1 HT 2-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
02.03.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 2-2 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
0-0
AWAY El Gounah
1.33 xG 0.30
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
342 Passes 137
76% Pass Accuracy 57%
28 Box Touches 12
38 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Smouha vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha and El Gounah fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Smouha at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Smouha had 66% of the ball to El Gounah's 34%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.33 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Gounah led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Smouha and 1.33 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Smouha vs El Gounah?

Smouha 0-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Smouha 49%, draw 27%, El Gounah 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Smouha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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