El Gounah vs Smouha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Gounah v Smouha — Team-Based Signals
El Gounah vs Smouha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
El Gounah
MSR
2-2
HT 1-2
El Gounah
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
3-1
HT 2-1
El Gounah
MSR
2-2
HT 1-1
Smouha
MSR
1-2
HT 0-1
Smouha
MSR
El Gounah 1-0 Smouha — Actual Match Statistics
El Gounah squeezed past Smouha 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and on the day El Gounah made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, El Gounah had 35% of the ball to Smouha's 65%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.69 to 1.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured Smouha.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for El Gounah and 1.67 for Smouha.
What was the final score of El Gounah vs Smouha?
El Gounah 1-0 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Smouha?
Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 33%, draw 33%, Smouha 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Smouha) went the other way.