National Bank of Egypt 0-1 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.44
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.5pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.04/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.06
+31% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.2 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME National Bank of Egypt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY El Geish
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 Passes 253
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2023 El Geish El Geish 2-0 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
23.06.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSRK
15.04.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-0 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
20.12.2022 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
09.05.2022 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
27.06.2021 El Geish El Geish 0-2 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME National Bank of Egypt
0-1
AWAY El Geish
0.85 xG 0.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
17 Corners 3
331 Passes 208
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 12
40 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH National Bank of Egypt vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish edged past National Bank of Egypt 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day El Geish made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, National Bank of Egypt had 60% of the ball to El Geish's 40%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 0.85 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for National Bank of Egypt and 0.83 for El Geish.

What was the final score of National Bank of Egypt vs El Geish?

National Bank of Egypt 0-1 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for National Bank of Egypt vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split National Bank of Egypt 40%, draw 29%, El Geish 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
17 Apr 2024
17:00 El Gounah vs Smouha Analysis →
20:00 ENPPI vs El Daklyeh Analysis →