Moss 3-2 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

Moss
3-2 HT 1-0
Kongsvinger
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Moss vs Kongsvinger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.61
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.62
6+ Goals
6%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✓
30%
3.69
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
3%
13.2
X/1
11%
5.23
X/2
11%
5.95
X/X
17%
3.83
2/1
4%
33.0
2/2
11%
4.43
2/X
9%
13.35
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moss v Kongsvinger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 36%
+22% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.76/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.16
+14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Moss vs Kongsvinger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kongsvinger
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
20.07.2024 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
12.11.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-2 HT 0-2 Moss Moss NOR1
25.06.2023 Moss Moss 0-1 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
28.08.2021 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 5-1 HT 4-0 Moss Moss NOR3
14.08.2021 Moss Moss 0-4 HT 0-3 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR3
POST-MATCH Moss vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss nicked a narrow win over Kongsvinger 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Moss and 1.83 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Moss vs Kongsvinger?

Moss 3-2 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Moss 45%, draw 29%, Kongsvinger 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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