Moss 1-0 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

Moss
1-0 HT 0-0
Kongsvinger
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Moss vs Kongsvinger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moss v Kongsvinger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 40%
+17% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.69/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.37
+4% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Moss vs Kongsvinger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kongsvinger
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-2 HT 0-2 Moss Moss NOR1
25.06.2023 Moss Moss 0-1 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
28.08.2021 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 5-1 HT 4-0 Moss Moss NOR3
14.08.2021 Moss Moss 0-4 HT 0-3 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR3
22.05.2019 Moss Moss 1-2 HT 1-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOK
16.08.2009 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-0 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss nicked a narrow win over Kongsvinger 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Moss and 2.33 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Moss vs Kongsvinger?

Moss 1-0 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Moss 42%, draw 23%, Kongsvinger 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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