Start vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Start v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals
Start vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Start
NOR
2-1
HT 1-0
Valerenga
NOR
3-2
HT 1-0
Start
NOR
1-6
HT 1-2
Valerenga
NOR
2-1
HT 0-0
Start
HAZ
2-4
HT 0-1
Valerenga
NOR
Start 1-2 Valerenga — Actual Match Statistics
Valerenga nicked a narrow win over Start 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Start had 41% of the ball to Valerenga's 59%, shots finished 12-17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Start and 3.33 for Valerenga.
What was the final score of Start vs Valerenga?
Start 1-2 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Start vs Valerenga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Start 30%, draw 20%, Valerenga 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.