Lyn Oslo 3-1 Asane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
6.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.15 — our 27% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyn Oslo EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Asane EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
2.99/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.95
+44% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyn Oslo
3-1
AWAY Asane
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lyn Oslo vs Asane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyn Oslo saw off Asane 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lyn Oslo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lyn Oslo had 48% of the ball to Asane's 52%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Lyn Oslo vs Asane?

Lyn Oslo 3-1 Asane in the Norway - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyn Oslo vs Asane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyn Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lyn Oslo 49%, draw 27%, Asane 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyn Oslo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyn Oslo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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