01/12/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Bursaspor vs Artvin Hopaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Bursaspor win — 67% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
20%
Draw
16%
13%
Away Win
7%
53%
Under 2.5
44%
47%
Over 2.5
56%
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
63%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bursaspor v Artvin Hopaspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bursaspor
EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
Artvin Hopaspor
EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+29% /
+29%
3.50/0.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.92/1.39
+55%
/
+45%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
+64%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
18
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
2
477 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
252 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Bursaspor vs Artvin Hopaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bursaspor squeezed past Artvin Hopaspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bursaspor as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bursaspor vs Artvin Hopaspor?
Bursaspor 2-1 Artvin Hopaspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bursaspor vs Artvin Hopaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bursaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bursaspor 67%, draw 20%, Artvin Hopaspor 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bursaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bursaspor)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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S3-2
More Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup
1 Dec 2024