Nafta 0-0 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

Nafta
0-0 HT 0-0
Celje
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.71
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
41%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.52
2-3 Goals
46%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.82
6+ Goals
8%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
18%
+12.0pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.9pp
41%
Away Win
61%
-19.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 66%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.94/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.24
+86% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -29%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Celje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Celje Celje 3-1 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
22.11.2023 Nafta Nafta 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
0-0
AWAY Celje
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta and Celje fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nafta had 35% of the ball to Celje's 65%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nafta and 2.00 for Celje.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Celje?

Nafta 0-0 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nafta 30%, draw 29%, Celje 41%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
1 Dec 2024
19:30 Olimpija Ljubljana vs Radomlje Analysis →