MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.65
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
19%
4.62
X/2
7%
7.58
X/X
13%
5.2
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
10%
5.29
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.7pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.22/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.03
+18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
18.9 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Pendikspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.59 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
275 Passes 294
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TSL
25.12.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1-1
AWAY Pendikspor
1.28 xG 0.85
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
408 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü and Pendikspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was MKE Ankaragücü at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 59% of the ball to Pendikspor's 41%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.28 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 0.50 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Pendikspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 50%, draw 26%, Pendikspor 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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