BG Pathum United 1-0 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

BG Pathum United
1-0 HT 0-0
Bangkok United
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

BG Pathum United vs Bangkok United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.2pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BG Pathum United v Bangkok United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.50/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.99
-17% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
23.5 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

BG Pathum United vs Bangkok United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BG Pathum United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Bangkok United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
318 Passes 241
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.03.2023 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
23.10.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-0 HT 0-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
05.03.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 1-1 HT 1-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
24.10.2021 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY

BG Pathum United 1-0 Bangkok United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BG Pathum United
1-0
AWAY Bangkok United
1.50 xG 0.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
345 Passes 268
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BG Pathum United vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United squeezed past Bangkok United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day BG Pathum United made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BG Pathum United had 55% of the ball to Bangkok United's 45%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 1.50 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.00 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Bangkok United?

BG Pathum United 1-0 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 33%, draw 31%, Bangkok United 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bangkok United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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