Thai Port FC 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.6pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.3pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 14%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.63/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.74
+3% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +1%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 72%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.8 Crosses 10.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.41 xG 0.75
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
380 Passes 165
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
31 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2023 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
18.09.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
01.05.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
27.11.2021 Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
2-1
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
1.39 xG 0.44
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
455 Passes 150
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
40 Box Touches 10
51 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC squeezed past Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Thai Port FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 71% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 29%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.39 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thai Port FC and 0.25 for Nong Bua Pitchaya.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Thai Port FC 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 58%, draw 23%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thai Port FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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