Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.05
X/1
10%
4.18
X/2
11%
9.89
X/X
12%
5.32
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
15%
7.3
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.36/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.54
-18% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.1 Crosses 15.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
361 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
21.10.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
15.04.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
27.11.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
03.03.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
01.11.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3-0
AWAY Kayserispor
2.01 xG 0.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
440 Passes 351
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor swept aside Kayserispor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 55% of the ball to Kayserispor's 45%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.01 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.00 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Kayserispor?

Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 41%, draw 28%, Kayserispor 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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