Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 31% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.75
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
20%
4.84
X/2
10%
7.27
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
12%
4.9
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.4pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.63/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.53
+4% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.9 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
375 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
15.04.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
27.11.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
03.03.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
01.11.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
09.07.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3-0
AWAY Kayserispor
2.01 xG 1.54
39% Ball Possession 61%
21 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
239 Passes 405
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor swept aside Kayserispor 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 39% of the ball to Kayserispor's 61%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.01 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.33 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Kayserispor?

Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 43%, draw 28%, Kayserispor 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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