MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.36
2-3 Goals
47%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.01
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.1
X/1
15%
3.72
X/2
7%
10.95
X/X
8%
5.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.6
2/2
11%
8.88
2/X
9%
17.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.51/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.47
-6% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.5 Crosses 14.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
4W-0D-2L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
326 Passes 332
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-1 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
08.04.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-2 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
08.10.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
12.02.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
16.09.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
12.03.2018 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1-1
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.85 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
341 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
35 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü and İstanbulspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was MKE Ankaragücü at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 51% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 49%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 0.85 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 1.17 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs İstanbulspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 53%, draw 22%, İstanbulspor 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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