Hatayspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

Hatayspor
0-2 HT 0-2
Fenerbahçe
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Hatayspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
53%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
12.2
1/2
8%
21.85
1/X
5%
20.45
X/1
5%
15.65
X/2
20%
3.51
X/X
10%
7.04
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.64
2/X
11%
19.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.1pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-13.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hatayspor v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 71%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.53/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/0.85
+139% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.7
13.4 Crosses 21.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Hatayspor vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.80 xG 2.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
311 Passes 341
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-2 HT 3-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
27.12.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-0 HT 2-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
20.02.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
26.09.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
02.02.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
21.09.2020 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL

Hatayspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
0-2
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.58 xG 2.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
302 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe beat Hatayspor 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hatayspor had 49% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 51%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.58 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hatayspor and 2.33 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Hatayspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 21%, draw 26%, Fenerbahçe 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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