Benevento 5-1 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.09/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
393 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Salernitana
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.38 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
313 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2020 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
16.09.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 0-2 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
08.02.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 0-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
21.09.2018 Benevento Benevento 4-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
05.03.2017 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 0-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
09.10.2016 Salernitana Salernitana 2-1 HT 2-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
5-1
AWAY Salernitana
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento cruised past Salernitana 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Benevento had 58% of the ball to Salernitana's 42%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benevento had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Benevento and 0.67 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Salernitana?

Benevento 5-1 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie C on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Benevento 46%, draw 26%, Salernitana 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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