Vis Pesaro 1-1 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.72
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.02/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.47
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +112%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Ascoli
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Ascoli Ascoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
15.11.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
1-1
AWAY Ascoli
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro and Ascoli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ascoli at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 34% of the ball to Ascoli's 66%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vis Pesaro and 0.50 for Ascoli.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Ascoli?

Vis Pesaro 1-1 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 28%, draw 28%, Ascoli 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ascoli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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