Vis Pesaro 1-1 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.28
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.88/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.70
-25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
1-1
AWAY Ascoli
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro and Ascoli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vis Pesaro at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 51% of the ball to Ascoli's 49%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Ascoli?

Vis Pesaro 1-1 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 41%, draw 24%, Ascoli 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vis Pesaro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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