PSV II 3-1 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.75
2-3 Goals
38%
2.16
4-5 Goals
31%
2.39
6+ Goals
10%
4.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
5.03
1/2
6%
18.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
17%
8.35
X/2
16%
5.17
X/X
11%
7.09
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
19%
2.42
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.9pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 54%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.46/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.16
+31% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
13.0 Crosses 21.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
29.03.2019 PSV II PSV II 2-1 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
09.11.2018 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-5 HT 1-4 PSV II PSV II HOL2
09.03.2018 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
20.10.2017 PSV II PSV II 3-2 HT 2-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
24.02.2017 PSV II PSV II 4-1 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
30.09.2016 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
3-1
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.32 xG 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
305 Passes 371
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II got the better of RKC Waalwijk 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was RKC Waalwijk at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSV II had 45% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 55%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.32 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for PSV II and 1.83 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of PSV II vs RKC Waalwijk?

PSV II 3-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PSV II 32%, draw 26%, RKC Waalwijk 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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