Ajax II 2-0 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
15%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.13
1/2
8%
20.85
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
11%
7.9
X/2
18%
5.08
X/X
10%
5.96
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
19%
2.59
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.48/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.35
+13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.3
10.9 Crosses 29.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Vitesse
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.00 xG 1.89
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 13
220 Passes 342
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
21.09.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 2-2 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
2-0
AWAY Vitesse
1.19 xG 1.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 10
290 Passes 286
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 35
6 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II got the better of Vitesse 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vitesse at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax II had 49% of the ball to Vitesse's 51%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.19 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajax II and 1.50 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs Vitesse?

Ajax II 2-0 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 31%, draw 24%, Vitesse 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
1 Dec 2025
22:00 PSV II vs RKC Waalwijk Analysis →