Ajax II 1-1 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 14 Apr 2025

Ajax II
1-1 HT 1-0
Vitesse
📅14/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Ajax II vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.41
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.2
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
15%
6.03
X/2
13%
6.3
X/X
10%
5.92
2/1
9%
23.3
2/2
13%
3.64
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.2 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.0pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax II v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.35/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.07
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
11.4 Crosses 21.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ajax II vs Vitesse Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vitesse
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.16 xG 1.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 29
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 15
240 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 2-2 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2

Ajax II 1-1 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
1-1
AWAY Vitesse
2.83 xG 1.79
37% Ball Possession 63%
23 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 11
199 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II and Vitesse couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Ajax II had 37% of the ball to Vitesse's 63%, shots finished 23-17, expected goals 2.83 to 1.79.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs Vitesse?

Ajax II 1-1 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 43%, draw 22%, Vitesse 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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