AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.98
2-3 Goals
34%
2.07
4-5 Goals
31%
2.46
6+ Goals
16%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
19.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
7%
8.15
X/2
17%
5.17
X/X
10%
6.61
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
21%
2.5
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.5 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.5pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 53%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +18%
1.27/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.33
+30% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
11.5 Crosses 17.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Volendam
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.60 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
383 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2024 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
11.02.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
22.10.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
12.05.2021 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
19.10.2020 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-6 HT 1-4 Volendam Volendam HOL2
10.02.2020 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
0-1
AWAY Volendam
0.72 xG 2.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
362 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 28
5 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam edged past AZ Alkmaar II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 57% of the ball to Volendam's 43%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.72 to 2.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Volendam's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.33 for Volendam.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Volendam?

AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 28%, draw 24%, Volendam 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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