Vitesse 2-2 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Sep 2024

Vitesse
2-2 HT 1-2
Ajax II
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Vitesse vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.47
2-3 Goals
33%
2.01
4-5 Goals
27%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.47
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
12%
4.82
X/2
8%
8.08
X/X
11%
5.87
2/1
10%
20.85
2/2
23%
5.06
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+9.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.8pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.27/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.61
-48% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
29.0 Crosses 12.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Vitesse 2-2 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
2-2
AWAY Ajax II
1.98 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
29 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 3
309 Passes 240
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 15
39 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse and Ajax II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Vitesse at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Vitesse had 57% of the ball to Ajax II's 43%, shots finished 29-8, expected goals 1.98 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Ajax II?

Vitesse 2-2 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 42%, draw 22%, Ajax II 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vitesse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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