Roda vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roda v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
2-1
HT 0-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-0
Roda
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Roda
HOL2
Roda 1-0 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics
Roda squeezed past MVV Maastricht 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Roda had 62% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 38%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 0.86 to 1.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roda and 0.50 for MVV Maastricht.
What was the final score of Roda vs MVV Maastricht?
Roda 1-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roda vs MVV Maastricht?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Roda 46%, draw 24%, MVV Maastricht 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.