Sion 2-0 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 2 Feb 2024

Sion
2-0 HT 2-0
Aarau
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.35/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.73
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.8 Crosses 16.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aarau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.37 xG 0.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
410 Passes 405
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Aarau Aarau 0-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV2
28.07.2023 Sion Sion 1-0 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
10.02.2021 Aarau Aarau 4-2 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSVK
15.09.2019 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSVK
16.05.2015 Sion Sion 1-0 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV
12.04.2015 Aarau Aarau 0-1 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
2-0
AWAY Aarau
2.33 xG 0.72
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
296 Passes 565
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sion vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion saw off Aarau 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sion as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sion had 37% of the ball to Aarau's 63%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.33 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sion had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sion and 0.83 for Aarau.

What was the final score of Sion vs Aarau?

Sion 2-0 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sion 51%, draw 24%, Aarau 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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