Thun 4-1 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.15
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 32% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.26/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.31
-7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
17.6 Crosses 10.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.08 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
297 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 3-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
21.07.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
15.09.2019 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-1 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSVK
25.10.2017 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-3 HT 1-2 Thun Thun İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
4-1
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.75 xG 2.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
257 Passes 319
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thun vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun cruised past Stade Nyonnais 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Thun had 45% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 55%, shots finished 17-20, expected goals 2.75 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Thun and 1.25 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Thun vs Stade Nyonnais?

Thun 4-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Thun 48%, draw 28%, Stade Nyonnais 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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