Karlsruher SC 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
29%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
6.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.13
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.31
X/2
12%
9.51
X/X
11%
6.04
2/1
7%
20.2
2/2
11%
6.35
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.05
Value flag · 2/X at 14.05 — our 10% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.74/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.03
-31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
27.5 Crosses 17.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
334 Passes 330
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
22.06.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden HAZ
20.12.2019 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
28.07.2019 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
31.03.2019 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-0 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL3
21.10.2018 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-5 HT 1-4 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
2-2
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.42 xG 2.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
365 Passes 404
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC and Wehen Wiesbaden couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Karlsruher SC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 49% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 51%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 1.42 to 2.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wehen Wiesbaden led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karlsruher SC and 2.00 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Karlsruher SC 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 46%, draw 26%, Wehen Wiesbaden 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlsruher SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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