Magdeburg 1-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Feb 2024

Magdeburg
1-1 HT 0-1
Holstein Kiel
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.17
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
8%
11.75
X/1
9%
5.56
X/2
13%
6.42
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
17%
3.89
2/X
10%
11.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Magdeburg v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 37%
-22% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.17/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.40
-30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
14.8 Crosses 19.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.80 xG 2.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
295 Passes 341
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-3 HT 0-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AFK
20.08.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-4 HT 1-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
11.02.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-3 HT 1-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
07.08.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
10.02.2019 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
03.09.2018 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-1 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2

Magdeburg 1-1 Holstein Kiel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
1-1
AWAY Holstein Kiel
2.48 xG 0.93
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
448 Passes 164
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
54 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg and Holstein Kiel shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Magdeburg had 68% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 32%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.48 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Magdeburg and 2.00 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?

Magdeburg 1-1 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 35%, draw 28%, Holstein Kiel 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holstein Kiel), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstein Kiel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
2 Feb 2024
20:30 Karlsruher SC vs Wehen Wiesbaden Analysis →