Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Feb 2024

Chemie Leipzig
1-1 HT 1-0
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒20:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Chemie Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.91
Over 2.5
39%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.68
No
62%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
56%
-17.2pp
62%
BTTS No
44%
+17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chemie Leipzig v Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 46%
+18% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.30/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.45
-7% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chemie Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-2 HT 1-2 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
21.05.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
25.01.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
29.09.2019 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL

Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemie Leipzig
1-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig and Rot-Weiss Erfurt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Chemie Leipzig had 53% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Erfurt's 47%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 1.75 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 35%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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