FSV Zwickau 4-1 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.27/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.67
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 4-3 HT 2-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
26.04.2015 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 3-2 HT 2-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FSV Zwickau
4-1
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau swept aside Hertha Berlin II 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FSV Zwickau had 49% of the ball to Hertha Berlin II's 51%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FSV Zwickau and 3.00 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Hertha Berlin II?

FSV Zwickau 4-1 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 35%, draw 24%, Hertha Berlin II 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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