Boca Juniors 1-1 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Feb 2024

Boca Juniors
1-1 HT 1-0
CA Sarmiento
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Boca Juniors vs CA Sarmiento Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.09
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
17.35
X/1
17%
3.51
X/2
7%
10.15
X/X
14%
4.03
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
10%
9.46
2/X
6%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.2pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boca Juniors v CA Sarmiento — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.52/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.28
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +11%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 68%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.6 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Boca Juniors vs CA Sarmiento Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.73 xG 0.58
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
460 Passes 164
83% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 1-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
03.07.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
12.10.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
21.11.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
01.03.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
16.10.2016 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ

Boca Juniors 1-1 CA Sarmiento — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
1-1
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.61 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
481 Passes 295
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors and CA Sarmiento couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Boca Juniors at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 60% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 40%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.61 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boca Juniors and 0.33 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs CA Sarmiento?

Boca Juniors 1-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 51%, draw 27%, CA Sarmiento 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boca Juniors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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