Union Santa Fe 0-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Feb 2024

Union Santa Fe
0-1 HT 0-0
Estudiantes
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.22
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.13
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
12%
5.1
X/2
13%
5.18
X/X
14%
3.37
2/1
14%
34.0
2/2
10%
4.23
2/X
11%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.4pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.0pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.09/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.15
-26% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
25.8 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
299 Passes 358
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-3 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
04.03.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
22.08.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
15.09.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-2 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
02.02.2020 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
06.04.2019 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ

Union Santa Fe 0-1 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
0-1
AWAY Estudiantes
0.95 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
294 Passes 203
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes squeezed past Union Santa Fe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Estudiantes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 58% of the ball to Estudiantes's 42%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.95 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.17 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes?

Union Santa Fe 0-1 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 38%, draw 32%, Estudiantes 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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