LASK Linz 2-3 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 2 Feb 2024

LASK Linz
2-3 HT 1-2
Salzburg
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Austria - ÖFB Cup – 2023/2024

LASK Linz vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.95
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
16%
6.8
X/2
9%
4.65
X/X
9%
4.51
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
27%
2.9
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LASK Linz v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 48%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.24
-37% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
200 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

LASK Linz vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Salzburg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.86 xG 1.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
252 Passes 287
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
14.05.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
16.04.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
12.03.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-2 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
01.10.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 1-1 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
02.03.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU

LASK Linz 2-3 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
2-3
AWAY Salzburg
1.53 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
273 Passes 231
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg nicked a narrow win over LASK Linz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LASK Linz had 54% of the ball to Salzburg's 46%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.53 to 1.04 — on chances, LASK Linz could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for LASK Linz and 0.67 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

LASK Linz 2-3 Salzburg in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 28%, draw 27%, Salzburg 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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