Sturm Graz 2-0 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 2 Feb 2024

Sturm Graz
2-0 HT 2-0
Austria Wien
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - ÖFB Cup – 2023/2024

Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.47
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
20%
4.2
X/2
8%
7.96
X/X
15%
4.82
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
16%
6.02
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturm Graz v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 28%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/1.47
-52% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +48%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Austria Wien
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.32 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
226 Passes 249
65% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
30.07.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-3 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
07.05.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-2 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
26.04.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-2 HT 1-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
12.03.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
02.10.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-3 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU

Sturm Graz 2-0 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
2-0
AWAY Austria Wien
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz saw off Austria Wien 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 52% of the ball to Austria Wien's 48%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.83 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien?

Sturm Graz 2-0 Austria Wien in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 42%, draw 29%, Austria Wien 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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