Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 2-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
2-2
HT 1-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
0-3
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
3-0
HT 1-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
Brisbane Roar 1-1 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Brisbane Roar had 53% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 47%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.33 to 1.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brisbane Roar and 2.50 for Wellington Phoenix.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Brisbane Roar 1-1 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 39%, draw 27%, Wellington Phoenix 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar), BTTS No went the other way.