Aberystwyth Town 1-0 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 2 Feb 2024

Aberystwyth Town
1-0 HT 1-0
Haverfordwest County
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
12%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberystwyth Town v Haverfordwest County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.12/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.46
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
30.09.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-0 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
15.04.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
11.03.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
23.12.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-1 HT 2-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
14.10.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL

Aberystwyth Town 1-0 Haverfordwest County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1-0
AWAY Haverfordwest County
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 5
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town nicked a narrow win over Haverfordwest County 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Haverfordwest County at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aberystwyth Town had 44% of the ball to Haverfordwest County's 56%, shots finished 3-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 1.67 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Aberystwyth Town 1-0 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 28%, draw 27%, Haverfordwest County 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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