Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-1
HT 5-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
4-1
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GALWK
0-4
HT 0-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
3-3
HT 0-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
0-2
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
0-1
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
Connahs Quay 1-1 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Connahs Quay and Caernarfon Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Connahs Quay carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Connahs Quay had 68% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 32%, shots finished 20-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.83 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Connahs Quay 1-1 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 58%, draw 21%, Caernarfon Town 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 went the other way.