Malacateco 3-2 Coatepeque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.7pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.6pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Coatepeque EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.00/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.73
+12% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Coatepeque
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Coatepeque 0-2 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
13.08.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Coatepeque GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Coatepeque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Coatepeque 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Malacateco had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malacateco and 0.00 for Coatepeque.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Coatepeque?

Malacateco 3-2 Coatepeque in the Guatemala - National League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Coatepeque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 53%, draw 32%, Coatepeque 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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