Xelaju MC 2-0 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.50/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.29
-9% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Xinabajul
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
18.09.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
13.08.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
09.04.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
16.02.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-1 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
07.11.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-2 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
28.08.2022 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-1 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
2-0
AWAY Xinabajul
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC got the better of Xinabajul 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 56% of the ball to Xinabajul's 44%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.67 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Xinabajul?

Xelaju MC 2-0 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 50%, draw 29%, Xinabajul 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
2 Feb 2024
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