Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-3 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.97
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
8%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 28% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-8.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.6pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ahli Dubai EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1-3
AWAY Rostov
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov saw off Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai had 52% of the ball to Rostov's 48%, shots finished 20-15.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Rostov?

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-3 Rostov in the Friendlies on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 41%, draw 26%, Rostov 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
2 Feb 2024
11:00 Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Krasnodar II Analysis →
13:00 Odense vs FK Pardubice Analysis →
14:00 Hobro IK vs Skive IK Analysis →
14:00 Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Analysis →
15:30 Grazer AK vs Kapfenberger SV Analysis →
16:00 Raufoss vs Stabaek Analysis →