02/02/2024
·
15:25
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Al-Noor vs Alhowra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over Pick
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
33%
21%
Draw
22%
44%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Noor v Alhowra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al-Noor
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Alhowra
The Market 49%
-52% /
-52%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-31%
/
-54%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
336 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
346 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al-Noor vs Alhowra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al-Noor beat Alhowra 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Alhowra at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al-Noor vs Alhowra?
Al-Noor 2-0 Alhowra in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Noor vs Alhowra?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alhowra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al-Noor 35%, draw 21%, Alhowra 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Alhowra)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
SUUD2
More Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division
2 Feb 2024